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Friday, December 14, 2012
NKorea still years away from reliable missiles
SEOUL, South Korea (AP) ? After 14 years of painstaking labor, North Korea finally has a rocket that can put a satellite in orbit. But that doesn't mean the reclusive country is close to having an intercontinental ballistic missile.
Experts say Pyongyang is years from even having a shot at developing reliable missiles that could bombard the American mainland and other distant targets, though it did gain attention and the outrage of world leaders Wednesday with its first successful launch of a three-stage, long-range rocket.
A missile program is built on decades of systematic, intricate testing, something extremely difficult for economically struggling Pyongyang, which faces guaranteed sanctions and world disapproval each time it stages an expensive launch. North Korea will need larger and more dependable missiles, and more advanced nuclear weapons, to threaten U.S. shores, though it already poses a threat to its neighbors.
"One success indicates progress, but not victory, and there is a huge gap between being able to make a system work once and having a system that is reliable enough to be militarily useful," said Brian Weeden, a former U.S. Air Force Space Command officer and a technical adviser to the Secure World Foundation, a think tank on space policy.
North Korea's satellite launch came only after repeated failures and hundreds of millions of dollars. It is an achievement for young authoritarian leader Kim Jong Un, whose late father and predecessor, Kim Jong Il, made development of missiles and nuclear weapons a priority despite international opposition and his nation's poverty.
Kim said the achievement "further consolidated" the country's status "as a space power," the government's official Korean Central News Agency reported Thursday. It added that Kim "stressed the need to continue to launch satellites in the future."
Kim visited the command center, gave the final written launch order and "keenly observed the whole processes of the launch" Wednesday, KCNA reported. It said the satellite entered into its orbit 9 minutes and 27 seconds after the launch, at 9:59 a.m.
South Korea's Defense Ministry said Thursday the satellite was orbiting normally at a speed of 7.6 kilometers (4.7 miles) per second, though it's not known what mission it is performing. North Korean space officials say the satellite would be used to study crops and weather patterns.
Though Pyongyang insists the project is peaceful, it also has conducted two nuclear tests and has defied international demands that it give up its nuclear weapons program.
The U.N. Security Council said in a brief statement after closed consultations Wednesday that the launch violates council resolutions against the North's use of ballistic missile technology, and said it would urgently consider "an appropriate response."
"This launch is about a weapons program, not peaceful use of space," U.S. State Department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland said. Even the North's most important ally, China, expressed regret.
North Korea has long possessed the components needed to construct long-range rockets. Scientists in Pyongyang, however, had been trying and failing since 1998 to conduct a successful launch. Only this week ? their fifth try ? did they do so, prompting dancing in the streets of the capital.
North Korea's far more advanced rival, South Korea, has failed twice since 2009 to launch a satellite on a rocket from its own territory, and postponed two attempts in recent weeks because of technical problems.
Each advancement Pyongyang makes causes worry in Washington and among North Korea's neighbors. In 2010, U.S. Secretary of Defense Robert Gates warned that within five years the North could develop an intercontinental ballistic missile capable of reaching the United States.
Wednesday's launch suggests the North is on track for that, said former U.S. defense official James Schoff, now an expert on East Asia at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
But he and other experts say the North must still surmount tough technical barriers to build the ultimate military threat: a sophisticated nuclear warhead small enough to mount on a long-range missile, something experts say will be the focus of future nuclear tests.
And despite Wednesday's launch, Pyongyang is also lacking the other key part of that equation: a reliable long-range missile.
"If in the future they develop a nuclear warhead small enough to put on a rocket, they are not going to want to put that on a missile that has a high probability of exploding on the launch pad," David Wright, a physicist with the Union of Concerned Scientists who has written extensively about North Korea's missile program, said in an email.
To create a credible missile program, experts say, North Korean technicians need to conduct many more tests that will allow them to iron out the wrinkles until they have a missile that works more often than it fails. Pyongyang's past tests have been somewhat scattershot, possibly because of the heavy international sanctions the rocket and nuclear tests have generated.
North Korea must build a larger missile than the one launched Wednesday if it wants to be able to send nuclear weapons to distant targets, analysts said.
The satellite North Korea mounted on the rocket weighs only 100 kilograms (220 pounds), according to the office of South Korean lawmaker Jung Chung-rae, who was briefed by a senior South Korean intelligence official. A nuclear warhead would be about five times heavier.
Other missing parts of the puzzle include an accurate long-range missile guidance system and a re-entry vehicle able to survive coming back into the atmosphere at the high speeds ? 10,000 mph ? traveled by intercontinental ballistic missiles, said Jonathan McDowell of the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics in Massachusetts.
Both are seen as being years off.
History also shows that first-generation, long-range missiles need dozens of test flights before they are accurate enough to be deployed.
The world's "ICBM club" has just four countries: the United States, Russia, China and France, according to Markus Schiller, an analyst with Schmucker Technologie in Germany and a leading expert on North Korean missiles.
If North Korea "really intended to become a player in the ICBM game, they would have to develop a different kind of missile, with higher performance," Schiller said. "And if they do that seriously, we would have to see flight tests every other month, over several years."
Wright said the Unha-3 rocket launched Wednesday has a potential range of 8,000 to 10,000 kilometers (4,970 to 6,210 miles), which could put Hawaii and the northwest coast of the mainland United States within range.
But even if North Korea builds a ballistic missile based on a liquid-fueled rocket like the 32-meter (105-foot)-tall Unha-3, it would take days to assemble and hours to fuel. That would make it vulnerable to attack in a pre-emptive airstrike. Solid-fueled missiles developed by the U.S. and Soviet Union are more mobile, more easily concealed and ready to launch within minutes.
Money is another problem for Pyongyang. A weak economy, chronic food shortages and the sanctions make it difficult to sustain a program that can build and operate reliable missiles.
"I don't think the young leader has any confidence that the home economy could afford a credible deterrent capability," said Zhu Feng, deputy director of the Center for International and Strategic Studies at Peking University.
Zhu said Pyongyang's recent launch was a negotiating chip, not an immediate threat. He said it was intended to stoke tensions abroad in order to improve Pyongyang's position in future international negotiations.
Weeden said North Korea may want to create the perception that it poses a threat to the United States, but is not likely to go further than that.
"I expect North Korea to milk this situation for everything they can get," he said. "But I don't think that perception will be matched by the actual hard work and testing needed to develop and field a reliable, effective weapon system like the ICBMs deployed by the US, Russia and China."
But Victor Cha, a former White House director for Asia policy, warned there has been an unspoken tendency in the United States to regard North Korea as a technologically backward and bizarre country, underestimating the strategic threat it poses.
"This is no longer acceptable," he wrote in a commentary.
North Korea already poses a major security threat to its East Asian neighbors. It has one of the world's largest standing armies and a formidable if aging arsenal of artillery that could target Seoul, the capital of South Korea. Nearly 30,000 U.S. forces are based in South Korea, a legacy of the 1950-53 Korean War that ended with an armistice, not a formal peace treaty.
The North's short-range rockets could also potentially target another core U.S. ally, Japan.
Darryl Kimball, executive director of the nongovernmental Arms Control Association, said those capabilities, rather than the North's future ability to strike the U.S., still warrant the most attention.
___
Matthew Pennington reported from Washington. Associated Press writer Alexa Olesen in Beijing and multimedia producer Jenni Sohn in New York contributed to this report.
Source: http://news.yahoo.com/nkorea-still-years-away-reliable-missiles-165539108.html
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Social Media Marketing For Measurable ROI - Work On the Internet
Three Tactics to Increase Your Social Media ROI
The results are in, Social Media Marketing, despite all the hype, has demonstrated accountability for only 1% of the total sales accumulated from black Friday through Cyber Monday 2012.
While many consider this trend to be an indication that the Scial Media Marketing honeymoon is over, its our contention that it is more indicative of the fact that most businesses are not aware of the best methods for engaging customers on the social media platforms.
The real take away from the dismal initial holiday season results may not be that Social Media Marketing methodology is dead, but that businesses need to re-evaluate how to use SMM. And following this re-evaluation they should change their SMM tactics. Social Media is not a stand alone marketing strategy, but rather a tactic that should be used in conjunction with an overall internet marketing strategy. And the real objective of a solid Social Media Marketing tactical approach for businesses, is to drive traffic that is interested in your market niche to your website, where a constantly evolving base of content will keep them interested in your products or services.
If you accept the notion that Social Media Marketing is simply one tactic in the online marketing strategy, you must then define how it should be utilized. How can businesses create a positive ROI with a social media marketing effort. How can a business generate conversions and new revenue using social media?
One may argue that the first step would be to simply follow the rules already well established by successful Social Media marketers, send out good content whether its your own or curated, and seek feedback in an entertaining manner. Link your social posts to your ???money??? site, and provide real and interesting information that engenders engagement of the following, and captivate your audience with irresistible offers.
Far too many companies are simply pumping out direct sales appeals, and never posting anything with an entertainment appeal, or any valuable information to their followers. Facebook is turning into a Spam farm. Twitter is an affiliate marketing exposition. Many users are posting nothing of any informational or entertainment value.
Here are some suggestions to help businesses to put marketing strategies in place that will start converting their social media marketing efforts into revenue.
Curate The Content of Social influencers
Robert Scoble is a highly influential technical blogger, found on many social platforms and his own popular website. His average of 21.21 tweets per day was quantified as a social media measure of irritation in 2008. But the fact is that he creates a positive buzz around many technical topics he addresses across his chosen internet platforms.
The marketing team at Ebay has borrowed his concept of the wish list, to help drive sales for electronic technology. Wish lists have been around since Kris Kringle first entered the holiday scene, but the concept is taking on a new appeal for the marketing team at Ebay. If Scoble wants a product, why wouldn't you? The 2012 Holiday season may well be the first in which the ???wish list??? goes viral. Stand by for the results.
Create A Positive Business Avatar.
The idea of a positive avatar has been a part of marketing strategy since long before Twitter, YouTube and Facebook were a part of the marketing scene. And the best example I can recall in my life time is still from a global marketing campaign created by the Subway Corporation in the Early 21st Millennium. Jared Fogel first came onto the marketing scene as the subject of an article written by his former college roommate, in 1999. When the room mate was unable to recognize Jared as a result of the hundreds of pounds he had lost in a relatively short period of time.
The room mate wrote an article for the ???Indiana Student Daily??? that was then published in Men's Health magazine, Subway latched on to the initial reaction and created one of the most successful business avatars of the decade, with the Subway diet, featuring Jared as the personal spokesman for their new ???healthy??? menu. Subway went from being a fast food franchise, to a diet plan. The resulting revenue increase was unprecedented in the company's history.
Not every company is going to be able to generate a viral response to a positive avatar, but you can identify a positive image within your organization, and put that forth in your marketing efforts. The avatar does not even have to be human, witness the GEICO Gecko.
Understand The Metrics of Engagement
Too many Social Media Marketers believe that the metric for measuring social engagement is the number of followers, likes or subscribers in a given social channel. The real measurable metrics are found behind the scenes on the social platforms. In Facebook you can measure the likes, comments and reach of a given post. On Twitter, you can count clicks to your content from your tweets, direct messages and re-tweets. YouTube has comments as well as like and dislike metrics, that provide a reliable quantifiable feedback for your uploads. Analytic tools are available on each social platform's dashboard.
The theory is constantly evolving, but the core concept remains constant. Put solid, informative or entertaining content onto your social feeds, and you will reap the rewards of your effort. Spam or post random events like ???going to the gym now??? and you will generate random results. In most cases, no one who can forward your marketing effort cares what time you're going to the gym. Dig into the analytic tools provided by the social platforms and website analytics to determine the effectiveness of your social media effort. You can not improve, if you don't know what you are looking at, where your traffic comes from and what the traffic does once it lands on your website. No matter what market niche you are involved in, you can find a way to engage your target audience on social media.
The process of measuring ROI on your social media marketing effort, may not be something that fits into your current work schedule. If you want to learn how to use Social Media Marketing in a measurable manner, make sure to contact Lili Teixeira, or Kenneth Ford, at Mass Internet Marketing Media. MIMMCO's experts will help you place a value on your Social Media Marketing Effort.
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Thursday, December 13, 2012
iTunes snubs Android Central - all of Android, actually - in annual awards
Bear with us, folks -- we're still coming to terms with this. Apple and iTunes have snubbed Android Central in its "Best of 2012" podcast listings. Instead, Apple, in its infinitely looped wisdom, has gone with some guy named Leo Laporte, a couple of people who apparently like to beat geeks, and a blue letter "e" for best technology podcasts of 2012. Hell, there's not even an Android category! Steve Jobs never would have let this happen.
But fear not. We will soldier on. The Greatest Android Podcast in the World will return yet again this evening for Episode No. 119, live at 9 p.m. EST, 2 a.m. (Thursday) GMT, and all points in between, where we once again will bring you the best of Android world, plus your e-mails and voicemails -- and we've got some stuff to give away this week, as well.
So join use tonight for the Android Central Podcast and help right this injustice. We'll be at androidcentral.com/live.
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Source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/androidcentral/~3/n2bbbbYG_4Q/story01.htm
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Wednesday, December 12, 2012
Smart, Solid Advice For Developing Yourself | Richard Jablonski ...
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You will get a better idea of who you are as a person if you make an effort at personal development. Fulfilling personal goals, gaining self awareness and developing your spirituality are all important for self improvement. This article contains a variety of suggestions to help you plan your own path for growth and development. Take one step at a time, and you will find you will have a better understanding of who you are.
There will usually be a difference in where you are in life, and where you want to be. You have to realize this difference before you can actually get to your destination. Without a clear understanding of exactly where you need to go, the process of achieving your self improvement goals will be long and frustrating.
For people with serious problems, therapy may be the best answer. Self-help books can be useful for many small problems, but they won?t help you tackle the bigger issues which could be haunting you. Just talking through your problems can lead you toward success. Reading even the best self-help book cannot start up a back-and-forth dialog, the way a therapy session can.
It is well known that being a good listener is an excellent character trait to develop. This truth applies even more to those who are making a concentrated effort to develop themselves on a personal level. You should make sure you are always listening when talking to yourself. If you don?t, you won?t understand your needs and that can make better yourself nearly impossible.
TIP! You must take care of yourself if you expect to do a good job caring for others. Always give yourself a chance to renew your energy and restore your mind.
Go to the movies with a friend. This is a good way to push yourself out of your comfort zone. You can be social with your friend before and after the movie and will have to be around strangers, but you won?t have to be overly social and can recharge during the movie. It will also allow you to get used to being around lots of people.
Paying attention to your body is a good self improvement practice. When you body is letting you know that you need food or a drink, you need to listen! Start to listen to what your body is telling you, and act on what you?re hearing. You?ll become better attuned, and the result will be better overall self improvement. By shying away from problems, your body will likely do the same in the future.
See what obstacles are keeping you from success. For a lot of people, this is very hard to do. Identifying and acknowledging your weakest points is a crucial element in transforming them. When you are able to get rid of obstacles, then your path to a successful future becomes easier to navigate.
If you are feeling ill-tempered, be sure to step back and count to ten prior to taking any action. Breath deeply and think calm, peaceful thoughts. Avoid saying anything that could be mean, and try to stay calm.
TIP! Whereas trying to fix your problems yourself is always a great idea, sometimes you might have to seek out professional help. An in-the-flesh therapist can provide much more insight than a clinical self-help book can.
You really have to put yourself first in order to be of any help to anyone else, and accept that you will never be able to please everyone. Do not become a self-centered person, but keep in mind that no one else will help you be a happier person than yourself. They key is to stay true to your beliefs, and then you can have a much greater chance at happiness in your self improvement.
Unfortunately, stress is quite a killjoy to a person?s state of happiness and joy. When we are feeling stressed, our minds aren?t just affected. Our entire bodies are too. To be able to think clearly, it is important to eliminate stress. Schedule a time every day where you can relax, be alone, and empty your thoughts. This time can help you improve your overall life.
Recognizing your limits when performing physical tasks can actually help you meet your goals. Although striving may be what fuels your accomplishments, you need to know when you are exceeding your own boundaries. If you push too hard to try and meet your goal too quickly, you may run the risk of injury. This will end up being counter-productive in your self improvement.
Exercising should be part of everyone?s life, not just those who are looking to lose weight. There are many other benefits from regular exercise. When you exercise, your body produces a number of chemicals, such as endorphin, which improve your overall mood.
TIP! One part of depression you may not thought of to look at is your diet and increasing the amount of complex carbohydrates that you consume. If you don?t get enough complex carbs, you will be low on serotonin.
Any type of personal development requires that you judge your progress. Make short-term and long-term goals for the optimum benefit. If you put this advice into effect in your life, you should start to see some positive changes taking shape.
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The Hobbit's Bag End Real Estate Listing | Geekosystem
The opening lines of The Hobbit mention that Bilbo Baggins lives in a hole in the ground. That might not sound appealing to a lot of people, but we?re betting that fans of The Hobbit would trade their mithril armor for a chance to live in a hobbit hole.
Bag End isn?t just any hole in the ground, it?s a 4,500 square foot, three bedroom hole in the ground with its own potato garden. How do you value something that doesn?t really exist? Movoto looked at factors like the location, size, and amenities of Bag End. To do this, they drew heavily from Karen Wynn Fonstad?s The Atlas of Middle-Earth which contained a map of the home.
Buyer beware, the map did not include a bathroom, but Movoto assumed there would be at least a small hobbit-sized one somewhere on the grounds.
Other major factors in home valuation are location and how the home stacks up to comparable homes in that area. Although Bag End is in a prime location at the end of Bagshot Row in Hobbiton it faces the problem that Hobbiton and The Shire are not real places. Again Movoto had to take some liberties.
They decided to place The Shire not in New Zealand where the film was shot, but rather in England where Tolkien was from. They used his favorite county of Worcestershire because they felt that?s where Tolkien would have wanted it.
Since they couldn?t very well compare Bag End to other hobbit holes, they had to use similarly sized homes to compare, and got an average valuation of $296 per square foot. They used this number to put a $1,330,000 price tag on Bag End.
Seems steep, but it?s nothing compared to the price they put on Wayne Manor.
(via Movoto.com)
Source: http://www.geekosystem.com/bilbo-real-estate/
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Three team mega-trade
That three-team mega-trade between the Indians, Reds and Diamondbacks has been made official.
Jeff Passan of Yahoo! Sports has the breakdown:
Reds get:
OF Shin-Soo Choo
INF Jason Donald
Indians get:
SP Trevor Bauer
OF Drew Stubbs
RP Bryan Shaw
RP Matt Albers
Diamondbacks get:
SS Didi Gregorius
RP Tony Sipp
OF Lars Anderson
Declaring winners and losers moments after a trade has been completed is futile, but it sure seems like the Diamondbacks got hosed here. Gregorius is a strong defensive shortstop, but the 22-year-old has?registered?a paltry .323 on-base percentage in five minor league seasons and seems doubtful to develop much power. Sipp is only a?mediocre?left-handed reliever and Anderson?s star has faded over the past couple of years.
That?s not a very impressive return for a guy like Bauer, who was drafted third overall in 2011 and had gaudy numbers (2.42 ERA, 157/61 K/BB over 130 1/3 innings) in 2012 between the Double-A and Triple-A levels.
On the other side of things, Bauer is exactly what the doctor ordered for the Indians, who have been dying for quality young starting pitching. And Stubbs is a guy that makes sense for the Tribe because he carries such excellent raw tools. The 28-year-old center fielder is worth the risk for a rebuilding franchise.
It?s also quite easy to love this deal for Cincinnati. In Choo, the Reds get a perfect leadoff man to place in front of Brandon Phillips, Joey Votto, Ryan Ludwick, Jay Bruce and Todd Frazier. Their outfield defense may be iffy, but that?s a dynamic starting lineup that should tear through most National League pitching.
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